Preference Elicitation via Theory Refinement

We present an approach to elicitation of user preference models in which assumptions can be used to guide but not constrain the elicitation process. We demonstrate that when domain knowledge is available, even in the form of weak and somewhat inaccurate assumptions, significantly less data is required to build an accurate model of user preferences than when no domain knowledge is provided. This approach is based on the KBANN (Knowledge-Based Artificial Neural Network) algorithm pioneered by Shavlik and Towell (1989). We demonstrate this approach through two examples, one involves preferences under certainty, and the other involves preferences under uncertainty. In the case of certainty, we show how to encode assumptions concerning preferential independence and monotonicity in a KBANN network, which can be trained using a variety of preferential information including simple binary classification. In the case of uncertainty, we show how to construct a KBANN network that encodes certain types of dominance relations and attitude toward risk. The resulting network can be trained using answers to standard gamble questions and can be used as an approximate representation of a person’s preferences. We empirically evaluate our claims by comparing the KBANN networks with simple backpropagation artificial neural networks in terms of learning rate and accuracy. For the case of uncertainty, the answers to standard gamble questions used in the experiment are taken from an actual medical data set first used by Miyamoto and Eraker (1988). In the case of certainty, we define a measure to which a set of preferc ©2003 Peter Haddawy, Vu Ha, Angelo Restificar, Benjamin Geisler and John Miyamoto.